Mathematics 133-001 
Introduction to Statistics

Fall 2005

Instructor: Jianqiang Zhao 
Office: SHA 110, Ext. 8438. 
Class Time: MWF 10:45am-11:35pm  
Office hours: Mon.1-6pm, Wed. 3-5 (by appointment only), Fri. 1pm-2pm (by appointment only)  

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Index

 

Course Description

Assignments

Time and Locations

Texts

Lecture Notes

Exams

Grading Poliy

Calendar

Time and Locations:

CLASSES

MWF 10:45am-11:35pm  

LOCATION:

SHA 103

 

Texts: Introduction to the Practice of Statistics, 4th Edition, by David S. Moore

 

Course Description:

We are going to discuss basic concepts, methods, and applications of statistics in the natural sciences. We also will consider elementary probability theory, random variables, discrete and continuous probability distributions. Then we use them to study statistics and sampling distributions, estimation and hypothesis testing, linear regression. Credit is given for only one of MA 133M or one of the behavioral science statistics courses, but not both.

Lecture Notes:

09/05 Introduction, Displaying Distributions with Graphs

09/07 Describing Distributions with Numbers

09/14 Normal Distributions

09/19 Looking at Data – Relationships, Scatterplots

09/21 Correlation

09/23 Least-Squares Regression

09/27 Cautions about Regression and Correlation

10/03 The Question of Causation

10/05 Transforming Relationships

10/12 First Steps

10/14 Design of Experiments

10/26 Sampling Design

10/26 Toward Statistical Inference

10/28 Randomness and Probability Models

11/02 Random Variables

11/02 Means and Variances of Random Variables

11/04 Sampling Distribution for Counts and Proportion

11/23 Estimating with Confidence

11/28 Tests of Significance

11/30 Inference for the Mean of a Population

12/05 Comparing Two Means

 

 

 

 

Examinations:

There will be three midterms and one final exam during the semester.
 

Examination Schedule

Date of Exam

Material Covered

Friday, Oct. 7

 

Friday, Nov. 11

 

Friday, Dec. 9

 

Wednesday, Dec.14

 

All exams except the final take place during class time.  For these exams, all the questions are similar to the homework problems.  Such questions may ask you to explain, for example, why a given formula makes sense.  Students may bring a 3.5 x 5 inch note-card with them to the exam, and calculators are allowed.

It is expected that you will adhere to the code of academic integrity and that all work on examinations will be your own.

Grading Policy:

Your final grade in the course will be based on the following:

quizzes 10%, homework 25%, first midterm: 15%, second midterm: 15%, third midterm 15%, final exam: 20%.

 

You can check your grades here.

Calendar - Math 133M-001, 2005 Fall:

·        Mon., Sept. 5 Fall semester begins at 8:00 a.m.

·        Thurs., Sept. 15 End of drop/add period for fall semester courses.

·        Mon.  Oct. 10-Tues. Oct. 11 Midterm academic recess.

·        Fri., Oct. 14 Winter Term 2006 registration begins.

·        Fri., Nov. 4 Last day to withdraw from fall semester courses with W grade, or change from audit to credit.

·        Wed., Nov. 9 Spring semester 2006 registration begins.

·        Thurs.-Fri., Nov. 24-25 Thanksgiving holiday, no classes.

·        Fri., Dec. 9 Last day of classes

·        Wed. Dec. 14 Final Exam 12:00 - 3:00 pm

Assignments:

We will have weekly homework. The homework problems associated with material discussed in class should be completed as soon as possible.  Students should spend two hours out of class for every hour in class. This amounts to one hour per day (on average) for this course.  Use this time to review class notes, work carefully through the text, and prepare solutions to the problems.

Mathematics is easiest to learn when studied in small, frequent chunks of time.  The unconscious mind requires time to organize material presented by the conscious mind.  Feed the unconscious mind regularly to keep it working!  Try to do at least one hour of math every day.

I encourage you to work in groups but prepare your writing in your own words. Further, you will acknowledge group work and editing assistance as part of your documentation of the work. Please realize that in ALL writing and oral presentations at this college, and in all of academic life, respect for others' ideas is ALWAYS acknowledged by attribution and standard citations of sources. If you do not know what constitutes plagiarism, see Diana Hacker, Writer’s Reference, section R3, and the EC Book , or http://www.wsulibs.wsu.edu/plagiarism/main.html  and then please talk with me about any details.

I will expect you to pledge all your assignments in accordance with the Eckerd College Honor Code: in its full form, we state,

On my honor, as an Eckerd College student, I pledge not to lie, cheat, or steal, nor to tolerate these behaviors in others.  One short way of affirming that your work follows the honor principles is to state, Pledged, with your signature, on every assignment. DO NOT PLAGIARIZE: to do so is to steal other’s intellectual property and to lie to your professor. The consequence is to fail the course.

 

No late homework will be accepted.  Please hand in only black ones. However, you should be able to do all the homework problems including the red ones in the brackets.

 

Week of

Assignment

Sep. 5

1.3, 1.7, 1.15, 1.18, 1.25, 1.28; [1.11, 1.17, 1.31, 1.40]

Sep. 12

1.41, 1.47, 1.58, 1.63, 1. 67; [1.53, 1.55, 1.65, 1.73, 1.75]

Sep. 19

1.80, 1.82, 1.85, 1.89, 1.93, 1.102, 1.107, 1.114; [1.95, 1.99, 1.105, 1.109, 1.112;]

Finish Online Quiz for Chapter 1 by 01:59am, 09/23/2005.  The quiz is timed. You must finish within 60 minutes. You must do it by yourself. But you can use your book and a calculator.

 

2.7,  2.9, 2.13, 2.17, 2.21, 2.26, 2.30;  [2.5, 2.10, 2.15, 2.18, 2.24, 2.32;]

Sep. 26

2.61, 2.64, 2.68, 2.73, 2.77; [2.63, 2.71, 2.79]

Here are some of the questions you should consider and be able to answer:

  1. What’s the meaning of r2?
  2. How to compute least-squares regression line by Minitab
  3. When do you need to use least-squares regression line?

Oct. 3

2.81, 2.84, 2.89, 2.93, 2.95, 2.102, 2105, [2.83, 2.87, 2.94, 2.98, 2.107, 2.110;]

Oct. 7

First Midterm

Oct. 10

First Midterm Recess

Oct. 12

 

Oct. 17

 

Oct. 24

3.5, 3.6, 3.7, 3.8; 3.12, 3.18, 3.33, 3.43, 3.47, 3.51, 3.53, 3.58, 3.65, 3.68, 3.72.

Oct. 31

4.1, 4.6, 4.11, 4.14, 4.18, 4.32, 4.35, 4.42, 4.47, 4.52, 4.56, 4.60, 4.67, 4.69, 4.74, 4.82,

Nov. 7

5.3, 5.7, 5.13, 5.20, 5.24, 5.27, 5.30, 5.33, 5.36, 5.42, 5.48, 5.52.

Nov. 11

Second Midterm

Nov. 14

 

Nov. 21

6.3, 6.4, 6.7, 6.10, 6.14, 6.23, 6.28

Nov. 25

Thanksgiving Holiday

Nov. 28

6.31, 6.32, 6,34, 6.37, 6.41, 6.44, 6.50, 6.53, 6.63, 6.67

Read section 6.3. Do 6.69, 6.71, 6.76, 6.81

Dec. 5

7.1, 7.2, 7.6, 7.9, 7.10, 7.15, 7.20, 7.21, 7.22, 7.23, 7.31, 7.39, 7.42.

For section 7.2, do the following.

You want to compare the daily sales for two fruits in your store: apples and oranges. From past experience, they are normal distributions N(110, 10) and N(90, 20) respectively. What is the probability that apples sell better than the oranges in your store in a 25-day period?  

Dec. 7

  1. Please finish online quiz for chapter 6 by next Monday.
  2. Here are the links to Mid1 and Mid2.  

Dec. 9

Third Midterm, Last Day of Class

Dec. 12

Final Exam (3:30 - 6:30 pm)